Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – Race is for 3 year olds only
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 7 of the last 12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Draw – 10 of the last 12 winners were drawn in stall 7 or higher
Last Run – 11/12 winners ran in the last 35 days or less, 6/12 winners won on their last run before The Derby, 10/12 winners at least placed on their last run before The Derby
4/12 winners ran in the 2000 Guineas (Newmarket) on their last run, 0 of the 4 won, 2 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Dante Stakes (York) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Chester Vase (Chester) on their last run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Derby Trial Stakes (Lingfield) on their last run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 0 of the last 12 winners had run or a win at Epsom before
Previous Distance Form – 8 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 10-12 furlongs, 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 10-12 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous flat runs, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 109 or higher
Group Wins – 9/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 7/12 had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
6/12 winners won on their next run after The Derby, 3/12 placed on their next run
7/12 ran in Irish Derby (Curragh) on their next run, 4 of the 7 won, 2 placed

Rest of Season Runs –
10/12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
6/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

l’Arc de Triomphe Run –
5/12 ran in Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (Longchamp) that season, 1 of the 5 won, 0 placed