Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Supreme Novices Hurdle, 10/12 winners ran within the last 66 days
5/12 winners ran in the Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their last run, 4 of the 5 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Tolworth Hurdle (Sandown) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham , 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 12/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 7/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 148 or higher
Graded Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 9/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
7 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Supreme Novices Hurdle, 1/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the Champion Novice Hurdle (Punchestown) on their next run, 3 of the 6 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
6 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 1/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
4 of the last 12 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham festival, 3 of the 4 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in Champion Hurdle at the next Cheltenham festival, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed
1/12 winners ran in the Turners Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham festival, 1 of the 1 won, 0 placed