Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Turners Novices Chase, 10/12 winners ran in the last 61 days
Previous Course Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 8/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 3 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 147 or higher
Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1 or 2 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
2 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after Cheltenham, 3/12 placed on their next run
2/12 winners ran in the Gold Cup Chase (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 2 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Ryanair Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Manifesto Novices Chase (Aintree) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
8 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
1/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
5/12 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase in their next Cheltenham Festival run, 1 of the 5 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Gold Cup at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed