Day 1

Manifesto Novices Chase | Anniversary 4-Y-O Novices Hurdle | Aintree Bowl | Aintree Hurdle | Hunters Chase | Red Rum Handicap Chase | Nickel Coin Mares NH Flat Race

Recent Form and Trends

* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged between 8 and 10
Price – 7 of the last 11 winners were favourites, 9/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 0/11 winners won on their last run before the Bowl Chase, 10/11 winners had their last run within the last 46 days
7/11 winners ran in the Gold Cup (Cheltenham) on their last run, 0 of the 7 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 8/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree, 7/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 9/11 winners had at least 4 runs over 24 furlongs or further, 10/11 winners had at least 1 previous win over 24 furlongs or further, 9/11 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 24 furlongs or further
Previous Chase Form – 11/11 winners had at least 8 previous chase runs, 9/11 winners had at least 5 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/11 winners had a rating of 168 or higher
Graded Wins – 11/11 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race, 10/11 had at least 2 wins in a grade 1-3 race, 11/11 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1 race
Season Form – 10/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 8/11 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
2 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Bowl Chase, 4/11 placed on their next run
6/11 winners ran in the Punchestown Gold Cup (Punchestown) on their next run, 2 of the 6 won, 3 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
6 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
2/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Aintree Festival Run –
5/11 winners ran in the Bowl Chase again at the Aintree festival, 2 of the 5 won, 1 placed