Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Reynoldstown Novices Chase, 10/12 winners ran within the last 55 days
Previous Course Form – 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Ascot
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 23-25 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 1 previous win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win, 8/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 136 or higher
Graded Wins – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
2 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Reynoldstown Novices Chase, 0/12 placed on their next run

Rest of The Season Runs –
12 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
2/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 1/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
5/12 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 5 won, 0 placed
3/12 winners ran in the National Hunt Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Festival Trophy Handicap Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed