Recent Form and Trends

* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged between 7 and 9
Price – 6 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 2 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Melling Chase, 9/11 winners ran within the last 30 days
5/11 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 1 of the 5 won, 1 placed
3/11 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 0 of the 3 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 10/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree, 3/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 8/11 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 8/11 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 10/11 winners had at least 8 previous chase runs, 11/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins, 8/11 winners had at least 5 previous chase wins
Rating – 10/11 winners were rated 161 or higher
Grade 1 Wins – 9/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 race, 11/11 winners had at least 2 wins in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 9/11 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
8 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Melling Chase, 1/11 placed on their next run
4/11 winners ran in the Champion Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 3 of the 4 won, 1 placed
4/11 winners ran in the Gold Cup (Punchestown) on their next run, 2 of the 4 won, 0 placed
2/11 winners ran in the 1965 Chase (Ascot) on their next run, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
6/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 1/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Aintree Festival Run Next Season –
5/11 winners ran in the Melling Chase at the next Aintree Festival, 1 of the 5 won, 2 placed