Recent Form and Trends

*The 2020 race was run at Newcastle

Trends

Age – Race is for 3yo’s only
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favorites/joint favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 5 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Pavilion Stakes, 9/12 winners had their last 180 days or longer ago
3/12 winners ran in the 2 Year Old Trophy (Redcar) on their last run, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Ascot
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 6 furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 6 furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 6 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous flat runs, 10/12 winners had at least 5 previous flat runs, 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins
Rating – 12/12 winners had a rating of 95 or higher
Group Wins – 6/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race
Season Form – 3/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 3/12 winners had a previous win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
1 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Pavilion Stakes, 5/12 placed on their next run
7/12 winners ran in the Sandy Lane Stakes (Haydock) on their next run, 1 of the 7 won, 3 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Commonwealth Cup (Ascot) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed

Rest of Season Run’s –
9/12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
4/12 winners won at least 1 more race that season, 8/12 winners placed in at least 1 more race that season

Royal Ascot Run –
5/12 winners ran in the Commonwealth Cup (Ascot) on the next Royal Ascot Festival, 0 of the 5 won, 2 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Jersey Stakes at the next Royal Ascot Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed