Recent Form and Trends
Trends
Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 or older
Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 8/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Nunthorpe Stakes, 11/12 winners had their last run within the last 41 days
4/12 winners ran in the King George Stakes (Goodwood) on their last run, 2 of the 4 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at York, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at York
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 10 previous runs over 5 furlongs, 10/12 winners had at least 4 previous wins over 5 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 11/12 winners had at least 12 previous flat runs, 12/12 winners had at least 4 previous flat wins, 9/12 winners had at least 6 previous flat wins
Rating – 10/12 winners had a rating of 108 or higher
Group Wins – 9/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
1 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Nunthorpe Stakes, 3/12 placed on their next run
5/12 winners ran in the Prix de l’Abbaye (Longchamp) on their next run, 0 of the 5 won, 2 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Sprint Cup (Haydock) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Flying Five Stakes (Curragh) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Rest of Season Run’s –
10/12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
1/12 winners won at least 1 more race that season, 2/12 winners placed in at least 1 more race that season
Prix de l’Abbaye Run –
7/12 winners ran in the Prix de l’Abbaye (Longchamp) that season, 0 of the 7 won, 2 placed