Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Arkle Novice Chase , 12/12 winners ran within the last 45 days
6/12 winners ran in the Racing Post Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their last run, 4 of the 6 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Leopardstown, 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Leopardstown
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 3 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 7/12 winners were rated 145 or higher
Graded Wins – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
6 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Arkle Novice Chase, 3/12 placed on their next run

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
8/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
9/12 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 4 of the 9 won, 3 placed
1/12 winners ran in the Turners Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 1 won