Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle , 11/12 winners ran within the last 47 days
4/12 winners ran in the Future Champions Novice Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their last run, 1 of the 4 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Leopardstown, 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Leopardstown
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 16-18 furlongs, 12/12 had at least 1 previous win over 16-18 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles, 4/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Rating – 7/12 winners were rated 140 or higher (5/12 didn’t have a rating)
Graded Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
7 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle, 1/12 placed on their next run

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
9/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
6/12 winners ran in the Supreme Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 4 of the 6 won, 0 placed
5/12 winners ran in the Turners Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 3 of the 5 won, 1 placed