Recent Form and Trends
Trends
Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 or 8
Price – 7 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the John Durkan Memorial Chase, 10/12 winners ran 214 days or longer ago
4/12 winners ran in the Gold Cup (Punchestown) on their last run, 2 of the 4 won, 2 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Champion Chase (Punchestown) on their last run, 0 of the 3 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs at Punchestown, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Punchestown
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 9/12 winners had at least 7 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase wins
Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 161 or higher
Graded Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 race, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 2/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 2/12 winners had a win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
4 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the John Durkan Memorial Chase, 4/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the Savills Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 3 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Dublin Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
11 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
7/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 8/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
4/12 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 4 won, 1 placed
4/12 winners ran in the Gold Cup at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 4 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed