Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were between 6 & 8
Price – 7 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Dawn Run Mares Novice Chase, 10/12 winners ran within the last 42 days
Previous Course Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Limerick, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Limerick
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 20-22 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 1 previous win over 20-22 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 7/12 winners were rated 125 or higher
Graded Wins – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
4 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Mares Novice Chase, 1/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the John & Chich Fowler Mares Chase (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
4/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Punchestown Festival Run That Season –
5/12 winners ran at the Punchestown Festival that season
2/12 winners ran in the Mares Handicap Chase at the next Punchestown Festival, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed
1/12 winners ran in the Champion Novice Chase at the next Punchestown Festival, 0 of the 1 won, 0 placed