Recent Form and Trends
Trends
Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Buck House Novice Chase, 12/12 winners ran within the last 38 days
3/12 winners ran in the Kilbegnet Novice Chase (Roscommon) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Punchestown, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Punchestown
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 16-18 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 16-18 furlongs, 7/12 had at least 3 previous wins over 16-18 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 6/12 winners were rated 135 or higher (6/12 winners didn’t have a chase rating yet)
Graded Wins – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
2 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Buck House Novice Chase, 0/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the Craddockstown Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 0 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Drinmore Novice Chase (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the November Novices Chase (Cheltenham) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
3/12 winners ran in the Arkle Novice Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Grand Annual at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed