Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 4 and 6
Price – 4 of the 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 4/12 winners won on their last run before the Northumberland Plate, 11/12 winners at least placed on their last run, 10/12 winners had their last run within the last 52 days
3/12 winners ran in the Chester Cup (Chester) on their last run, 0 of the 3 won, 3 placed
Previous Course Form – 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newcastle, 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newcastle
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 16 furlongs, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 16 furlongs, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 16 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 11/12 winners had at least 10 previous flat runs, 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins, 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous flat wins
Rating – 8/12 winners had a rating of between 96 and 104
Group Wins – 1/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run that season, 4/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
2 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Northumberland Plate, 3/12 placed on their next run
4/12 winners ran in the Goodwood Cup (Goodwood) on their next run, 0 of the 4 won, 2 placed

Rest of Season Runs –
10/12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season,
2/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Northumberland Plate Run –
2/12 winners ran in the Northumberland Plate again the following season, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed