Day 2
Mildmay Novices Chase | Orrell Park Handicap Hurdle | Top Novices Hurdle | Melling Chase | Topham Chase | Sefton Novices Hurdle | Lydiate Handicap Hurdle
Recent Form and Trends
* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons
Trends
Age – 9 of the last 11 winners were aged either 6 or 7
Price – 7 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 4 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Mildmay Novices Chase, 11/11 winners ran within the last 30 days
4/11 winners ran in the Turners Novices Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 1 of the 4 won, 3 placed
3/11 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 3/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree, 1/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 8/11 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 23-25 furlongs, 9/11 had at least 1 previous win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 11/11 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 10/11 winners had at least 4 previous chase runs, 11/11 winners had at least 1 previous chase win, 8/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 10/11 winners were rated 153 or higher
Graded Wins – 10/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/11 winners had at least 4 runs that season, 9/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
5 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Mildmay Novices Chase, 2/11 placed on their next run
3/11 winners ran in the Intermediate Chase (Carlisle) on their next run, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
3/11 winners ran in the Intermediate Chase (Sandown) on their next run, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
0 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
0/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 0/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Aintree Festival Run Next Season –
6/11 winners ran in the Bowl Chase at the next Aintree Festival, 2 of the 6 won, 2 placed