Recent Form and Trends

* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 11 winners were aged either 6 or 7
Price – 3 of the last 11 winners were favourites, 7/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 5 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Sefton Novices Hurdle, 10/11 winners ran within the last 41 days
4/11 winners ran in the Spa Novices Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their last run, 1 of the 4 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 1/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Aintree, 1/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Aintree
Previous Distance Form – 8/11 winners had at least 1 previous run over 23-25 furlongs, 5/11 had at least 1 previous win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 8/11 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 11/11 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles, 9/11 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 8/11 winners were rated 138 or higher
Graded Wins – 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 10/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
6 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Sefton Novices Hurdle, 1/11 placed on their next run
3/11 winners ran in the Channor Real Estate Novice Hurdle (Punchestown) on their next run, 2 of the 3 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
3 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
2/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 1/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Aintree Festival Run Next Season –
4/11 winners ran in the Liverpool Hurdle at the next Aintree Festival, 1 of the 4 won, 1 placed