Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 1 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 2/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting, 10/12 winners were priced 11/1 or bigger
Last Run – 5/12 winners won on their previous run before the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle, 9/12 winners had their last run within 54 days
Previous Course Form – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 3/12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 run over 23-25 furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 9/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 8/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles, 6/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 136 or higher
Graded Wins – 5/12 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after Cheltenham, 2/12 placed on their next run
7/12 winners ran in the Channor Real Estate Novice Hurdle (Punchestown) on their next run, 2 of the 7 won, 2 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
5/12 winners ran in the Stayers Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 5 won, 2 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novice Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the National Hunt Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed