Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 9 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 11/12 won on their last run before the Arkle Chase, 9 of the last 12 winners ran within the last 51 days
4/12 winners ran in the Irish Arkle Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their last run, 4 of the 4 won
Previous Course Form – 10 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 5/12 had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 2 wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 10/12 had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 chase win, 10/12 had at least 2 chase wins
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 157 or higher
Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 or grade 2 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 12/12 had at least 1 win that season, 10/12 had at least 2 wins that season.

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
7 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Arkle Novices Chase, 3/12 placed on their next run
5/12 winners ran in the Barberstown Castle Novices Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 3 of the 5 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Maghull Novices Chase (Aintree) on their next run, 2 of the 3 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
6/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
7/12 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham festival, 3 of the 7 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase at the next Cheltenham festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed.