Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Baring Bingham Novices Hurdle, 12/12 winners at least placed on their previous run, 10/12 winners ran within the last 66 days
Previous Course Form – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 3/12 winners had a previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 6/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 11/12 winners had a least 1 win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 runs over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Rating – 12/12 winners were rated 146 or higher
Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/12 had at least 3 runs that season, 12/12 had at least 1 win that season, 11/12 had at least 2 wins that season.

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
8 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Baring Bingham Novices Hurdle, 1/12 winners placed on their next run
5/12 ran in the Champion Novice Hurdle (Punchestown) next time out, 3 of the 5 won, 0 placed
1/12 ran in the Mersey Novice Hurdle (Aintree) next time out, 1 of the 1 won

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
5/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 1/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
3/12 ran in the Turners Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/12 ran in the Champion Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed