Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 7
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Brown Advisory Novice Chase, 10/12 winners at least placed on their last run, 12/12 winners ran within the last 77 days
3/12 winners ran in the Flogas Novices Chase (Leopardstown) on their last run, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Dipper Novices Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 23-25 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 1 win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 153 or higher
Graded Wins – 9/12 winners had previously won a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/12 had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after Cheltenham, 4/12 placed on their next run
5/12 winners ran in the Mildmay Novices Chase (Aintree) next time out, 1 of the 5 won, 2 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Champion Novice Chase (Punchestown) next time out, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
7 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
1/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
6 of the last 12 winners ran in the Gold Cup at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 6 won, 2 placed