Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 12 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 3 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 8/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 12 of the last 12 winners won on their previous run before the Champion Bumper, 8/12 winners ran within the last 45 days
3/12 winners ran in the Future Stars INH Flat Race (Leopardstown) on their last run, 3 of the 3 won
Previous Course Form – 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 2/12 winners had 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 run over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs, 8/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous NH Flat Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous NH flat runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous NH flat win, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous NH flat wins
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 120 or higher
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run and 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
6 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after Cheltenham, 3/12 placed on their next run
8/12 winners ran in the Champion Flat Race (Punchestown) next time out, 3 of the 8 won, 3 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
8 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
2/12 winners ran in the Supreme Novice Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Turners Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 2 won