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Dawn Run Mares Novices Hurdle

Grade – 2
Course – Cheltenham (New Course)
Race Type – Hurdle
Distance – 2 Miles 1 Furlong (17F)
Ages – 4yo’s + (fillies & mares)
Weights – 10st 6lbs (4yo), 11st 2lbs (5yo+)
Penalties – 3lbs for winners of a class 2 wfa hurdle or class 1 handicap hurdle, 5lbs for winners of a class 1 wfa hurdle
Sponsor – Ryanair

Grade 2

Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 9 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 3 of the last 9 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 6/9 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 9 winners won on their last run before the Dawn Run Mares Novice Hurdle, 8/9 winners ran within the last 47 days
2/9 winners ran in the Jane Seymour Novice Hurdle (Sandown) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed
2/9 winners ran in the Solerina Mares Hurdle (Fairyhouse) on their last run, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed
2/9 winners ran in the Mares Handicap Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their last run, 0 of the 2 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 2/9 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham , 0/9 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 6/9 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 8/9 had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 9/9 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, 6/9 winners had at least 3 previous runs over hurdles, 8/9 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles, 7/9 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 7/9 winners were rated 135 or higher
Graded Wins – 5/9 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/9 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 8/9 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
2 of the last 8 winners won on their next run after Cheltenham, 4/8 placed on their next run
5/8 winners ran in the EBF Mares Hurdle (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 2 of the 5 won, 3 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
7 of the last 8 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
1/8 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/8 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Cheltenham Festival Run –
4/7 winners ran in the Mares Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 4 won, 3 placed