Recent Form and Trends

* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons

Trends

Age – 7 of the last 11 winners were aged either 4 or 5
Price – 5 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 8/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 2 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Earl Of Sefton Stakes, 8/11 winners had their last run over 166 days ago
Previous Course Form – 11/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newmarket, 9/11 winners had at least 2 previous runs at Newmarket, 7/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newmarket
Previous Distance Form – 11/11 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 8-10 furlongs, 11/11 winners had at least 1 previous win over 8-10 furlongs, 7/11 winners had at least 2 previous wins over 8-10 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 9/11 winners had at least 8 previous flat runs, 9/11 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins
Rating – 11/11 winners had a rating of 106 or higher
Group Wins – 5/11 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race
Season Form – 3/11 winners had a run that season, 0/11 winners had a previous win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
4 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Earl of Sefton Stakes, 1/11 placed on their next run
2/11 winners ran in the Lockinge Stakes (Newbury) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of Season Run’s –
9/11 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
3/11 winners won at least 1 more race that season, 4/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Next Earl of Sefton Run –
2 of the last 11 winners ran again in the next Earl of Sefton Stakes, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed