Winter Derby
Group – 3
Course – Southwell
Race Type – Flat
Distance – 1 Mile 3 Furlongs (11 Furlongs)
Ages – 4yo’s +
Weights – 8st 13lbs (4yo), 9st 2lbs (5yo+), (3lb allowance for fillies & mares)
Penalties – 7lbs for Group 1 winners, 5lbs for Group 2 winners, 3lbs for Group 3 winners
Sponsor – BetUK
Recent Form and Trends
* The race moved from Lingfield to Southwell in 2024
Trends
Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 4 & 6
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 5 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Winter Derby, 8/12 winners had their last run within the last 63 days
4/12 winners ran in the Winter Derby Trial (Lingfield) on their last run, 2 of the 4 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Quebec Stakes (Lingfield) on their last run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Lingfield/Southwell, 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Lingfield/Southwell
Previous Distance Form – 8/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 10-11 furlongs, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 10-11 furlongs
Previous Flat Form – 10/12 winners had at least 7 previous flat runs, 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous flat wins
Rating – 11/12 winners had a rating of 106 or higher
Group Wins – 2/12 winners had at least 1 win in a group 1-3 race
Season Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Winter Derby, 3/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the Middle Distance Championship Stakes (Lingfield) on their next run, 3 of the 6 won, 2 placed
Rest of Season Run’s –
11/12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
7/12 winners won at least 1 other race that season, 5/12 winners placed in at least 1 more race that season
Next Winter Derby Run –
6 of the last 12 winners ran again in the next years Winter Derby, 0 of the 6 won, 0 placed