Recent Form and Trends

* The 2022 race was abandoned due to a frozen track

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 9/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Bristol Novices Hurdle , 10/11 winners ran within the last 38 days
3/11 winners ran in the Hyde Novices Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 6/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 4/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 7/11 winners had at least 1 previous run over 23-25 furlongs, 5/11 had at least 1 previous win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/11 winners had at least 2 runs over hurdles, 10/11 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles
Rating – 9/11 winners were rated 132 or higher
Grade 2 Wins – 3/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 2 race
Season Form – 11/11 winners had at least 1 run that season, 10/11 winners had at least 1 win that season, 5/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Bristol Novices Hurdle, 1/11 placed on their next run
2/11 winners ran in the Challow Novices Hurdle (Newbury) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
2/11 winners ran in the Classic Novices Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
6 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
3/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
7/11 winners ran in the Spa Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 7 won, 1 placed