Recent Form and Trends
Trends
Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 & 8
Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 12/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Cheltenham Chase , 10/12 winners ran 199 days or longer ago
Previous Course Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 4 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 6 previous chase runs, 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase wins
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 155 or higher
Graded Wins – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 2/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 1/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Cheltenham Chase, 3/12 placed on their next run
5/12 winners ran in the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) on their next run, 2 of the 5 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Paddy Power Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
8 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
7/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
8/12 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 8 won, 2 placed