Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged either 6 or 7
Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 12/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Christmas Hurdle , 10/12 winners ran within the last 41 days
4/12 winners ran in the Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Newcastle) on their last run, 4 of the 4 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Kempton, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Kempton
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 5 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 6 runs over hurdles, 9/12 winners had at least 5 wins over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 4 wins over hurdles
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 153 or higher
Grade 1 Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 race, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 9/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
7 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Christmas Hurdle, 2/12 placed on their next run
1/12 winners ran in the Kingwell Hurdle (Wincanton) on their next run, 1 of the 1 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
8 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
9/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
9/12 winners ran in the Champion Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 4 of the 9 won, 2 placed