Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7 and 9
Price – 10 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Clonmel Oil Chase, 10/12 winners ran 109 days or longer ago
3/12 winners ran in the Punchestown Gold Cup (Punchestown) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Clonmel, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Clonmel
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 6 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 152 or higher
Graded Wins – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 3/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 2/12 winners had a win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Clonmel Oil Chase, 1/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the John Durkan Memorial Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
8/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
2/12 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Ryanair Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed