Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5 and 7
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the EBF Novice Chase, 11/12 winners ran within the last 48 days
Previous Course Form – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous runs at Cork, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cork
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 7/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 2/12 winners were rated 138 or higher (10/12 didn’t have a chase rating yet)
Graded Wins – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
1 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the EBF Novice Chase, 4/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the Drinmore Novice Chase (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 0 of the 6 won, 0 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Craddockstown Novice Chase (Punchestown) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 3 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 5/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
1/11 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novice Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 1 won, 0 placed