Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5 and 7
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Craddockstown Novice Chase , 11/12 winners ran within the last 40 days
Previous Course Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous runs at Punchestown, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Punchestown
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over hurdles, 6/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 2/12 winners were rated 141 or higher (10/12 didn’t have a chase rating yet)
Graded Wins – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Craddockstown Novice Chase, 2/12 placed on their next run
7/12 winners ran in the Racing Post Novice Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 1 of the 7 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
5/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
3/12 winners ran in the Arkle Novice Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Turners Novice Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed