Recent Form and Trends

* The 2011 & 2022 runnings were abandoned due to adverse weather

Trends

Age – 8 of the last 10 winners were aged 6 or 7
Price – 5 of the last 10 winners were favourites, 10/10 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 10 winners won on their last run before the December Novices Chase , 8/10 winners ran within the last 35 days
Previous Course Form – 1/10 winners had at least 1 previous run at Doncaster, 1/10 winners had at least 1 previous win at Doncaster
Previous Distance Form – 8/10 winners had at least 1 previous run over 23-25 furlongs, 4/10 had at least 1 previous win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 10/10 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 9/10 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Rating – 9/10 winners were rated 138 or higher
Graded Wins – 2/10 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/10 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 9/10 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
1 of the last 10 winners won on their next run after the December Novices Chase, 2/10 placed on their next run
3/10 winners ran in the Kauto Star Novices Chase (Kempton) on their next run, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placed
2/10 winners ran in the Hampton Novices Chase (Warwick) on their next run, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
8 of the last 10 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
3/10 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/10 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
2/10 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
2/10 winners ran in the National Hunt Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed