Recent Form and Trends
*2019 race was run at Ascot
Trends
Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7 and 9
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 5 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Denman Chase, 9/12 winners ran within the last 63 days
Previous Course Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 23-25 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 7 previous chase runs, 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase wins
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 152 or higher
Grade 1/2 Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 or 2 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 9/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
2 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Denman Chase, 1/12 placed on their next run
2/12 winners ran in the Bowl Chase (Aintree) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
2/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
5/12 winners ran in the Gold Cup at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 5 won, 1 placed