Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 5 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Desert Orchid Chase , 9/12 winners ran within the last 48 days
4/12 winners ran in the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) on their last run, 3 of the 4 won, 0 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Shloer Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Kempton, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Kempton
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 8 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 3 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 5 previous chase runs, 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 156 or higher
Graded Wins – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 4/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Desert Orchid Chase, 2/12 placed on their next run
7/12 winners ran in the Clarence House Chase (Ascot) on their next run, 4 of the 7 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Game Spirit Chase (Newbury) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
12 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
8/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
11/12 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 4 of the 11 won, 1 placed