Recent Form and Trends
Trends
Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were between 5 or 6
Price – 7 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 12/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Dorans Pride Novice Hurdle , 11/12 winners ran within the last 43 days
3/12 winners ran in the Stayers Novice Hurdle (Cork) on their last run, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Monksfield Novice Hurdle (Navan) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Limerick, 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Limerick
Previous Distance Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 22-24 furlongs, 8/12 had at least 1 previous win over 22-24 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
Rating – 3/12 winners were rated 130 or higher (9/12 didn’t have a rating yet)
Graded Wins – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Dorans Pride Novice Hurdle, 2/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the Golden Cygnet Novice Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their next run, 0 of the 6 won, 2 placed
Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
9/12 winners ran in the Albert Bartlet Novice Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 9 won, 1 placed