Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 12/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 7 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Dovecote Novices Hurdle , 10/12 winners ran within the last 42 days
Previous Course Form – 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Kempton, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Kempton
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 2 runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 130 or higher
Graded Wins – 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
1 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Dovecote Novices Hurdle, 2/12 placed on their next run
5/12 winners ran in the Top Novices Hurdle (Aintree) on their next run, 0 of the 5 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
2/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
2/12 winners ran in the Supreme Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed