Recent Form and Trends

* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 1 of the last 11 favourites/joint favourites have won, 2/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 4 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Festival Novice Hurdle , 9/11 winners ran within the last 35 days
2/11 winners ran in the Michael Purcell Novice Hurdle (Thurles) on their last run, 1 of the 2 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 6/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Fairyhouse, 2/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Fairyhouse
Previous Distance Form – 10/11 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 6/11 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/11 winners had at least 3 previous runs over hurdles, 10/11 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
Rating – 7/11 winners were rated 127 or higher
Graded Wins – 3/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 10/11 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
0 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Festival Novice Hurdle, 3/11 placed on their next run
5/11 winners ran in the Champion Novice Hurdle (Punchestown) on their next run, 0 of the 5 won, 1 placed
4/11 winners ran in the Irish Daily Mirror Novice Hurdle (Punchestown) on their next run, 0 of the 4 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
9 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
0/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 2/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run Next Season –
4/11 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 4 won, 2 placed
1/11 winners ran in the Stayers Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 1 won, 0 placed