Recent Form and Trends
* The 2021 race was cancelled due to a waterlogged track
Trends
Age – Race is for 4yo’s only
Price – 5 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 9/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 9 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Finesse Juvenile Novices Hurdle , 9/11 winners ran within the last 42 days
3/11 winners ran in the Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Chepstow) on their last run, 3 of the 3 won
Previous Course Form – 2/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 2/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 8/11 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 8/11 had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 8/11 winners had at least 2 runs over hurdles, 9/11 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles
Rating – 3/11 winners were rated 131 or higher (8/11 didn’t have a rating)
Graded Wins – 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 6/11 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 9/11 winners had at least 1 win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
4 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Finesse Juvenile Novices Hurdle, 2/11 placed on their next run
Rest of The Season Runs –
6 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
4/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
5/11 winners ran in the Triumph Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 5 won, 1 placed
1/11 winners ran in the Fred Winter Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 1 won, 0 placed