Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 11 of the last 12 winners were aged 4 or 5
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the For Auction Novice Hurdle , 12/12 winners ran within the last 57 days
Previous Course Form – 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Navan, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Navan
Previous Distance Form – 7/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 1 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over hurdles, 6/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
Rating – 2/12 winners were rated 130 or higher (10/12 winners didn’t have a rating yet)
Graded Wins – 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
1 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the For Auction Novice Hurdle, 2/12 placed on their next run
9/12 winners ran in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 1 of the 9 won, 2 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Future Champions Novice Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
6/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 5/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
4/12 winners ran in the Supreme Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 4 won, 2 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed