Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged either 5 or 6
Price – 4 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 7/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Henry VIII Novices Chase, 12/12 winners ran within the last 29 days
3/12 winners ran in the November Novices Chase (Cheltenham) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 2 placed
Previous Course Form – 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Sandown, 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Sandown
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 11/12 winners had at least 5 runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Grade 1-2 Wins – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-2 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
9 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Henry VIII Novice Chase, 0/12 placed on their next run
4/12 winners ran in the Wayward Lad Novices Chase (Kempton) on their next run, all 4 won
3/12 winners ran in the Kingmaker Novices Chase (Warwick) on their next run, 3 of the 3 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
9/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 3/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
6/12 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 6 won, 1 placed