Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 7 and 9
Price – 9 of the last 12 favourites/joint favourites have won, 12/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Hilly Way Chase, 8/12 winners ran 220 days or longer ago
3/12 winners ran in the Poplar Square Chase (Naas) on their last run, 2 of the 3 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cork, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cork
Previous Distance Form – 12/12 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 3 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 9/12 winners had at least 4 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 148 or higher
Graded Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 5/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 3/12 winners had a win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
6 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Hilly Way Chase, 1/12 placed on their next run
3/12 winners ran in the Paddy Power Chase (Leopardstown) on their next run, 2 of the 3 won, 0 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Clarence House Chase (Ascot) on their next run, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
11 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 3 more races that season
10/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
7/12 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 7 won, 1 placed