Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5
Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 9 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Hyde Novices Hurdle , 11/12 finished in the top 2 on their last run, 12/12 winners ran within the last 38 days
2/12 winners ran in the Persian War Novices Hurdle (Chepstow), 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 5/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Cheltenham, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Cheltenham
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles
Rating – 5/12 winners were rated 131 or higher (7/12 didn’t have a rating yet)
Graded Wins – 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 12/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
6 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Hyde Novices Hurdle, 1/12 placed on their next run
6/12 winners ran in the Challow Novices Hurdle (Newbury) on their next run, 3 of the 6 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Bristol Novices Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their next run, 2 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
6/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
4/12 winners ran in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 4 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Spa Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed