Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 8 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 8/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Joe Mac Novice Hurdle, 12/12 winners ran within the last 68 days
Previous Course Form – 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Tipperary, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Tipperary
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs, 7/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles, 5/12 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Rating – 5/12 winners were rated 125 or higher (7/12 didn’t have a rating yet)
Graded Wins – 0/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 8/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 11/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
0 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Joe Mac Novice Hurdle, 2/12 placed on their next run
4/12 winners ran in the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle (Fairyhouse) on their next run, 0 of the 4 won, 1 placed
2/12 winners ran in the For Auction Novice Hurdle (Navan) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 0 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
3/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
2/12 winners ran in the Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 2 won, 0 placed