Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 5 and 7
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint-favourites, 11/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the John Francome Novices Chase , 8/12 winners ran within the last 48 days
Previous Course Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 4 runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Previous Chase Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase run, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win
Graded Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 8/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 6/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
3 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the John Francome Novices Chase, 3/12 placed on their next run
4/12 winners ran in the Dipper Novices Chase (Cheltenham) on their next run, 0 of the 4 won, 1 placed
4/12 winners ran in the Kauto Star Novices Chase (Kempton) (Formerly Feltham Novice Chase) on their next run, 3 of the 4 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
6/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 5/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
3/12 winners ran in the Turners Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placed
1/12 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novice Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 1 won, 0 placed