Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged either 6 or 7
Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 8/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Kauto Star Novices Hurdle, 12/12 winners ran within the last 57 days
3/12 winners ran in the Berkshire Novices Chase (Newbury) on their last run, 3 of the 3 won
Previous Course Form – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Kempton, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Kempton
Previous Distance Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over 23-25 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 1 previous win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous chase win, 7/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 146 or higher
Graded Wins – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season, 7/12 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
5 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Kauto Star Novices Chase, 3/12 placed on their next run
2/12 winners ran in the Scilly Isles Novice Chase (Sandown) on their next run, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
6/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 4/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
5/12 winners ran in the Brown Advisory Novices Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 5 won, 0 placed
2/12 winners ran in the Turners Novice Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed