Recent Form and Trends

*The 2019 race was run at Sandown
*The 2024 race was abandoned due to a waterlogged track

Trends

Age – 8 of the last 11 winners were aged either 6 or 7
Price – 6 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 8 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Kingmaker Novices Chase, 7/11 winners ran within the last 51 days
3/11 winners ran in the Wayward Lad Novice Chase (Kempton) on their last run, 2 of the 3 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Warwick, 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Warwick
Previous Distance Form – 9/11 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/11 had at least 1 previous win over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Chase Form – 11/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase runs, 11/11 winners had at least 1 previous chase win, 9/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins
Rating – 9/11 winners were rated 143 or higher
Graded Wins – 7/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 8/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 9/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
2 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Kingmaker Novices Chase, 2/11 placed on their next run

Rest of The Season Runs –
8 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
6/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 5/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
8/11 winners ran in the Arkle Chase at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 8 won, 2 placed