Recent Form and Trends
Trends
Age – 12 of the last 12 winners were aged either 5 or 6
Price – 3 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 12/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 10 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Leamington Novices Hurdle, 11/12 winners ran within the last 45 days
Previous Course Form – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Warwick, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Warwick
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 11/12 had at least 1 previous wins over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win over hurdles, 7/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 9/12 winners were rated 127 or higher
Graded Wins – 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 12/12 winners had at least 1 win that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
1 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Leamington Novices Hurdle, 5/12 placed on their next run
Rest of The Season Runs –
12 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
2/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 7/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
6/12 winners ran in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 6 won, 0 placed
5/12 winners ran in the Spa Novices Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 5 won, 2 placed