Recent Form and Trends

* The 2022 race was run at Kempton

Trends

Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged between 6 and 8
Price – 3 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 9/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 4 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Long Walk Hurdle, 9/12 winners ran within the last 32 days
6/12 winners ran in the Long Distance Hurdle (Newbury) on their last run, 2 of the 6 won, 2 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Stayers Handicap Hurdle (Haydock) on their last run, 2 of the 3 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Ascot, 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Ascot
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 3 previous runs over 23-25 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 1 previous win over 23-25 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 7 runs over hurdles, 12/12 winners had at least 3 wins over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 4 wins over hurdles
Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 151 or higher
Grade 1 Wins – 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
4 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Long Walk Hurdle, 3/12 placed on their next run
8/12 winners ran in the Cleeve Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their next run, 4 of the 8 won, 2 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
11 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
4/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
11/12 winners ran in the Stayers Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 11 won, 2 placed