Recent Form and Trends
* The 2020 race was cancelled for health and safety reasons
Trends
Age – 8 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 9 of the last 11 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 11/11 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 4 of the last 11 winners won on their last run before the Mares Novice Hurdle Final, 7/11 winners ran within the last 35 days
3/11 winners ran in the Solerina Mares Novice Hurdle (Fairyhouse) on their last run, 2 of the 3 won, 1 placed
3/11 winners ran in the Dawn Run Mares Novice Hurdle (Cheltenham) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 0 placed
Previous Course Form – 6/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Fairyhouse, 5/11 winners had at least 1 previous win at Fairyhouse
Previous Distance Form – 6/11 winners had at least 1 previous run over 19-21 furlongs, 5/11 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/11 winners had at least 3 previous runs over hurdles, 11/11 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles, 8/11 winners had at least 2 previous wins over hurdles
Rating – 9/11 winners were rated 133 or higher
Graded Wins – 7/11 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 8/11 winners had at least 2 wins that season
Future Form
Trends
Next Run –
6 of the last 11 winners won on their next run after the Mares Novice Hurdle Final, 0/11 placed on their next run
Rest of The Season Runs –
4 of the last 11 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
1/11 won at least 1 more race that season, 0/11 placed in at least 1 more race that season
Cheltenham Festival Run Next Season –
5/11 winners ran in the Mares Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 5 won, 0 placed
2/11 winners ran in the Stayers Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 2 won, 1 placed