Recent Form and Trends

* 2021 race was run at Navan.

Trends

Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 10/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 4 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Mercedes-Benz Novice Hurdle, 10/12 winners ran within the last 51 days
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Clonmel, 2/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Clonmel
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous runs over 22-24 furlongs, 8/12 had at least 1 previous win over 22-24 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 previous runs over hurdles, 10/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over hurdles
Rating – 7/12 winners were rated 128 or higher (5/12 didn’t have a rating)
Graded Wins – 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 10/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 10/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
1 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Mercedes-Benz Novice Hurdle, 6/12 placed on their next run

Rest of The Season Runs –
11 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 1 more race that season
1/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 6/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
6/12 winners ran in the Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 0 of the 6 won, 3 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Martin Pipe Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed