Recent Form and Trends

Trends

Age – 8 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 6 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 12/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 6 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Morgiana Hurdle , 9/12 winners ran 190 days or longer ago
4/12 winners ran in the Champion Hurdle (Punchestown) on their last run, 2 of the 4 won, 1 placed
3/12 winners ran in the Jezki Hurdle (Down Royal) on their last run, 1 of the 3 won, 1 placed
Previous Course Form – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Punchestown, 9/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Punchestown
Previous Distance Form – 9/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 9/12 had at least 3 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 10/12 winners had at least 6 previous runs over hurdles, 11/12 winners had at least 3 previous wins over hurdles
Rating – 11/12 winners were rated 155 or higher
Graded Wins – 11/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1 race
Season Form – 5/12 winners had at least 1 run that season, 2/12 winners had a win that season

Future Form

Trends

Next Run –
8 of the last 12 winners won on their next run after the Morgiana Hurdle, 1/12 placed on their next run
12/12 winners ran in the Matheson Hurdle (Leopardstown) on their next run, 8 of the 12 won, 1 placed

Rest of The Season Runs –
10 of the last 12 winners ran in at least 2 more races that season
11/12 won at least 1 more race that season, 7/12 placed in at least 1 more race that season

Cheltenham Festival Run That Season –
9/12 winners ran in the Champion Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 2 of the 9 won, 3 placed
1/12 winners ran in the Stayers Hurdle at the next Cheltenham Festival, 1 of the 1 won, 0 placed